Prediction record

Every evening we write our rank of every runner in every usable race on the next South African card and publish the page. After the results we score it against the pool favourite. Good days and bad days stay up; nothing is edited or removed.

Model column: the earliest entries were ranked by a hand-set weight table (since retired); later ones by the combined model. One day is noise; judge the record over hundreds of races.

• Measured combined model · Sat 3 Oct 2026 – Sat 3 Oct 20266 races · our #1 won 2/6 (33%) · favourite 67% · winner in top 3 50%
• Hand-set weights (retired) · Wed 26 Aug 2026 – Fri 2 Oct 2026173 races · our #1 won 46/173 (27%) · favourite 36% · winner in top 3 58%

The running total above mixes both eras. Judge the current model on its own line; under 100 races it does not support a verdict yet.